Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AKT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-20 1.657072 1.911794 2.186875 2.505310 2.863036 3.251735 3.705273
2024-10-27 1.266915 1.620430 2.036006 2.557288 3.190081 3.929558 4.854981
2024-11-03 0.996276 1.397953 1.906986 2.591403 3.478460 4.579330 6.037477
2024-11-10 0.794420 1.213120 1.780893 2.592536 3.705806 5.159820 7.179249
2024-11-17 0.634336 1.048531 1.646488 2.550183 3.853943 5.634816 8.211814
2024-11-24 0.510645 0.909889 1.521063 2.493258 3.961513 6.048968 9.180925
2024-12-01 0.431026 0.822631 1.454762 2.507203 4.161788 6.597183 10.366348
2024-12-08 0.361189 0.737185 1.376033 2.486865 4.300438 7.057297 11.447616
2024-12-15 0.319062 0.691664 1.354261 2.551135 4.570199 7.725521 12.874026
2024-12-22 0.275339 0.634499 1.303083 2.557272 4.742030 8.249291 14.107733
2024-12-29 0.253142 0.615075 1.315806 2.673126 5.102160 9.089852 15.881182
2025-01-05 0.230329 0.589959 1.313753 2.760364 5.417669 9.874972 17.607941
2025-01-12 0.196990 0.537041 1.253220 2.737500 5.546882 10.376065 18.931450
2025-01-19 0.175891 0.507809 1.236336 2.796284 5.828693 11.155223 20.766741
2025-01-26 0.155728 0.476561 1.210637 2.834358 6.074869 11.888758 22.569040
2025-02-02 0.135615 0.440871 1.169768 2.836135 6.251020 12.508820 24.210750
2025-02-09 0.115336 0.399779 1.110105 2.790607 6.329546 12.956301 25.573704
2025-02-16 0.097261 0.360100 1.047055 2.729177 6.368860 13.331272 26.824676
2025-02-23 0.085802 0.336925 1.020181 2.744304 6.563445 14.004417 28.645383
2025-03-02 0.074190 0.310077 0.979520 2.722336 6.677289 14.528847 30.217698
2025-03-09 0.067900 0.298982 0.978076 2.791832 6.989467 15.450249 32.567559
2025-03-16 0.059951 0.279929 0.952014 2.798470 7.164833 16.112487 34.460264
2025-03-23 0.056886 0.277807 0.972941 2.923679 7.611402 17.336318 37.477594